Review of Gregorian Strategy for Multiple Deck Blackjack
- Title:
- Gregorian Strategy for Multiple Deck Blackjack
- Author:
- Gregory Mannarino
- Publisher:
- Lyle Stuart Kensington
- Date:
- 2003
- ISBN:
- 0-8184-0633-X
- Pages:
- 162
- Price:
- $12.95
October 26, 2003
A strategy that gives a 21 player an edge over the house
without having to vary one's bets is the Holy Grail of
blackjack. In Gregorian Strategy for Multiple Deck
Blackjack, Gregory Mannarino believes he has uncovered a
strategy that allows a player to gain an edge off the top
when playing against multiple decks. If it works, this would be the most
remarkable development in advantage blackjack since Edward Thorpe's
classic, Beat the Dealer.
Mannarino's book begins with a couple of chapters which provide background
into the author's credentials and insight into the game as well as
information on how the game of blackjack is played in a casino.
I must admit to
being more than a little distressed from the start. The Author's
discussions about the history and nature of blackjack basic strategy
do not agree with either conventional wisdom or my own findings. Further,
the author's writing style is clumsy and, at many times, infuriating.
The book could use another pass by a skilled copy editor, and
I can't count the number of times Mannarino admonishes his audience to
"pay attention". I do know that at least as often as I read that line
in the book, I wanted to yell at the author, "get to the point", although
in a much less polite tone.
Chapter three is titled, "The Gregorian Theorem". Is the Gregorian Theorem
proved? No, but there's a good reason for that. After multiple readings,
I can't find any evidence that it is ever stated. The basic idea,
of the Gregorian Strategy, though,
is that by following a new strategy table, supplanting the familiar basic
strategy tables of the blackjack literature, a player can
achieve a 1% advantage over the casino. Mannarino makes the claim that
the original basic strategy was geared toward single deck games, which
is true, and
that this issue hasn't been revisited in the intervening years, which is
not true. He completely neglects the
work done by many blackjack authors, especially by Peter
Griffin in Theory of Blackjack and Stanford Wong in
Basic Blackjack. The fact that these folks as well as
many other authors have
designed basic strategy charts specifically tailored for multiple
deck blackjack games is not so much as mentioned in this book.
The author moves on to cover topics such as money management and casino
comportment. With the exception of Mannarino's unorthodox strategy,
these chapters contain about what one would expect, except that the
author also introduces us to his theory of "biases". That is,
tables where players have had recent success against the house are good,
and other tables are bad. I doubt I can convince "true believers" of
bias play that this is nonsense, but anyone who
believes in such things should just stop reading my
reviews right now, because we're not going to agree on much.
Next we are treated to a blow-by-blow diary of the author's (successful)
use of
the Gregorian Strategy during trips to Atlantic City and Las Vegas.
The book concludes with a description of "advanced strategies", which
amount to the combination of the Gregorian Strategy with card counting.
The author claims that this should give the player a 3% advantage
over the house using a 2-to-1 betting spread at multi-deck games. I
have to admit it, though, I just don't buy it.
The author makes a number of other statements that don't make sense
to me. He states that casinos have a blackjack win rate of 6%
of money wagered.
His suggestions regarding bankroll size do not agree with those advocated
by the Kelly Criterion. Regarding his system, the author makes
the claim that it has been subjected to computer analysis and
has been proven to work. I see no evidence that this is actually
the case.
So, what's the bottom line? I simply don't believe that the strategy pitched
in Gregorian Strategy for Multiple Deck Blackjack is
a winning strategy. I doubt I could convince the author of this, and
even if possible, it would almost certainly require more effort than I
want to expend. Is this
the great blackjack breakthrough we've all been waiting for? Nope.
Is this book worth reading? Nope. My advice: Folks who want to beat
the game of blackjack should stick with the classics.
Capsule:
To start with, Gregorian Strategy for Multiple Deck Blackjack
is just plain annoying to read. The worse sin, though, is that it espouses
a strategy that I just don't believe will work. The book is filled with
a great deal of information that is at odds with the blackjack literary
canon, and in my opinion, the reader should stick with the canon. If
one acquires a copy of this book for free, I honestly cannot recommend
that one take the time to read it.
Note: I received a free review copy of this book from the author.
I have no other interest, financial or otherwise, in the success of
this book.
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